Transcript
Hello, everybody, welcome to Wednesday, the S&P 500 was up .07% today. The big news was about the stimulus bill that didn’t get signed yet. I’ve said in the past that you don’t think the stock market needs the stimulus bill to still do quite well, I think the vaccine has to do well. But if that happens with low interest rates and pent up demand, I think that’s enough to create a pretty decent market going forward. The stimulus bill and any others that they might do is just like rocket fuel, it’ll be really incredible. If they do it, it’s obviously needed for other issues. And I’m not trying to diminish that at all, my job is to kind of point out what happens with the stock market.
But what is important today is just really to see some of the rotation. Portfolio design is really critical, you know, we have multiple pieces that are out there. You know, we have advanced healthcare, innovative technology, value stocks, clean energy, and, and the broad market indexes. And the idea there is that we don’t know for sure where things are gonna go. And today is a perfect example of that. So value’s been lagging for a bit here, for a few weeks. And innovative technology and clean energy have been really, really running. Well, today, clean energy did, okay, innovative technology didn’t do well it was underperforming, but value did well, was our big winner today. And again, that’s why you have those pieces, identify where the money runs to over periods of time.
So back in October, we started to see money running towards value. So I added that to the portfolio. And that’s what you want to do. So I think it’s important to understand those different pieces, let’s talk a minute for about what’s happening with value and how that works. So a value stock is considered something that is inexpensive compared to its earnings, or its book value, or its dividend or something along those lines. But one of the problems with value stocks is that sometimes they’re value stocks for a reason, there’s something going on, there’s something wrong, that maybe we don’t even know what it is yet. Or they have really high debt levels, or maybe you know, they’re about to go out of business. So one of the things that we look at is for indexes where they screen a lot of that out.
So let me show you kind of how this works. Okay, so first of all, this is a chart from yesterday, this is ICLN, this is the iShares, clean energy piece, I just want to show you this is an example of a momentum index just means it’s really running. Right, it’s got lots of momentum, and it was up another 1.6% today, whereas the value index is a quite a different look, it basically has come down has not come back up yet, it’s possibly undervalued. And you can see really, you know, things started to move here in October. And we’ve had this nice run and a good run today. This is FOVL, which is an iShares focused value piece, I’ll just show you a little bit of details about it. So it’s all in the United States. This is from etf.com, by the way, which is one of my favorite sites for looking at ETF information, it’s half financials and then you know basic materials, energy, consumer stickle, goals, utilities, etc. You can see, you know, the top 10 Holdings here, some recognizable companies, and whatnot to with what they’re doing is they’re starting with the Russell 1000. And they are eliminating companies that have high volatility. They’re eliminating companies that have high debt ratio compared to their equity. And they’re eliminating companies that have poor analyst reviews.
And so with with what they have left, they rank them based on their earnings, their dividends or cash flow, and their book value, and they buy the top 40 out of that rank. And so what that does is it creates a higher quality grouping of stocks to pick from, and I liked that aspect of it quite a bit, I think it’s a really clean way to play value. And today certainly was a great day to own it. It’s why we have it. And again, I think it is important long term to you know, we can’t day trade, we can’t move it out, I couldn’t move last night into value thinking he was going to go up today, you kind of already have to be there. If the ball keeps going to third base and you don’t have anybody there, you’re going to get somebody over to third base. And you got to cover that area. You know, one of the tricks is to not always cover areas where the ball is not going to at all. So you have to watch for that. But that’s part of the portfolio design is to just make sure that we’ve got those pieces in place. And so I’m really glad that we had value in the portfolio today it really paid off. So thank you very much for watching today and I look forward to talking to you tomorrow. Thank you