Market Update: November 2, 2021 Don’t Bet Against Corporate America

Tom Vaughan is a Certified Portfolio Manager and CEO of Retirement Capital Strategies. Retirement Capital Strategies is a registered investment advisor located in San Jose, California.

The opinions voiced in these presentations are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual(s). The information provided herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no reservation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Statements and opinions are subject to change without notice. Asset allocation and portfolio diversification cannot assure or guarantee better performance and cannot eliminate the risk of investment losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the information contained in these materials in making any investment decision as the material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned in this presentation. Before acting on information discussed in this presentation, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment advisor. Prospectuses, investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of any investment product should be reviewed carefully before investing. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Retirement Capital Strategies and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. No advice may be rendered by Tom Vaughan or Retirement Capital Strategies unless a client service agreement is in place. “Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors or our services. Please be aware that while we monitor comments and “likes” left on this page, we do not endorse or necessarily share the same opinions expressed by site users. While we appreciate your comments and feedback please be aware that any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please honor our request to limit your posts to industry-related educational information, comments and questions. Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. Investment positions mentioned in these videos may be held in some of our existing portfolios. Tom Vaughan and Retirement Capital Strategies are unaffiliated and separate from those companies whose investment positions are mentioned and is not liable for their products or services.

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Transcript:

Tom Vaughan:

Hello everybody, welcome to Tuesday. The S&P 500 was up .37% today, closing at an all-time high again. The Dow closed above 36,000 for the first time, going back to the 1800s. Really incredible market that’s happening here, and most of this has been driven by earnings. The expectations were that we’d have about 30% growth in earnings, which is actually fantastic, but those expectations were brought down because of the supply chain issues and inflation and the labor issues that have been happening. So at one point, it was about 28% expected. Well right now, as we start to wrap up the third quarter earnings reports, looks like we’re going to hit about 36.6% growth in earnings for the third quarter. And this would be the fourth highest quarterly growth in earnings since 2010.


So, really powerful. Everybody was expecting things to go south, and they actually went even better to the upside. And I’ve been saying this before, there’s lots of people still think the market’s going to go down even right now. And unfortunately, if you believe that, you’re also essentially saying that these companies, these American companies can’t do it. They can’t adjust to this situation, and that they’re going to have all kinds of issues with that.


And so betting against corporate America here has not been a very good deal so far, for those they’re doing it. For us that are fully invested, that’s worked out really well. So it’s been pretty exciting. So earnings have been a big catalyst. And then, you know, as we get closer and closer for these bills to get through Congress, there’s some very important pieces in there in terms of taxation.


So, there was an expectation that taxation on corporations would go up quite a bit. And again, politically, there’s all kinds of things we may or may not want to do, but in terms of what the stock market’s going to look at, when we have a 1% stock buyback, you know, tax new tax, and a 15% minimum tax on corporations over a billion dollars, that’s better than what was expected. So the market is going to respond to that also and start to come up.


And so really fascinating timeframe, and the market just keeps going. We’ve got room to grow, in my opinion. The Small Cap stocks that ran so much yesterday, really haven’t done a lot for a while. Sometimes when these markets get going, eventually it moves over into the Small Cap area and it really can take off too so we’ll see how that plays out. But good thing so far. Lots of good news for those of us that are invested. So look forward to talking to you about this tomorrow. Thank you.

Tom Vaughan is a Certified Portfolio Manager and CEO of Retirement Capital Strategies. Retirement Capital Strategies is a registered investment advisor located in San Jose, California.

The opinions voiced in these presentations are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual(s). The information provided herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no reservation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Statements and opinions are subject to change without notice. Asset allocation and portfolio diversification cannot assure or guarantee better performance and cannot eliminate the risk of investment losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the information contained in these materials in making any investment decision as the material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned in this presentation. Before acting on information discussed in this presentation, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment advisor. Prospectuses, investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of any investment product should be reviewed carefully before investing. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Retirement Capital Strategies and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. No advice may be rendered by Tom Vaughan or Retirement Capital Strategies unless a client service agreement is in place. “Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors or our services. Please be aware that while we monitor comments and “likes” left on this page, we do not endorse or necessarily share the same opinions expressed by site users. While we appreciate your comments and feedback please be aware that any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please honor our request to limit your posts to industry-related educational information, comments and questions. Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. Investment positions mentioned in these videos may be held in some of our existing portfolios. Tom Vaughan and Retirement Capital Strategies are unaffiliated and separate from those companies whose investment positions are mentioned and is not liable for their products or services.

By participating in any of these live streams, you agree that any questions submitted by you might be used by us in the future on this YouTube channel. We will not share your personal information.

If you have questions, please write to us at: asktom@talkmoneywithtom.com.

  • MoneyGuidePro®
  • Advent Software/Black Diamond Reporting
  • Riskalyze, Inc.
  • thinkpipes®
  • Right Capital
  • YCharts, Inc.