Market Update: March 31, 2022 When A Market Drop Can Be A Good Thing

Tom Vaughan is a Certified Portfolio Manager and CEO of Retirement Capital Strategies. Retirement Capital Strategies is a registered investment advisor located in San Jose, California.

The opinions voiced in these presentations are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual(s). The information provided herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no reservation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Statements and opinions are subject to change without notice. Asset allocation and portfolio diversification cannot assure or guarantee better performance and cannot eliminate the risk of investment losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the information contained in these materials in making any investment decision as the material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned in this presentation. Before acting on information discussed in this presentation, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment advisor. Prospectuses, investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of any investment product should be reviewed carefully before investing. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Retirement Capital Strategies and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. No advice may be rendered by Tom Vaughan or Retirement Capital Strategies unless a client service agreement is in place. “Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors or our services. Please be aware that while we monitor comments and “likes” left on this page, we do not endorse or necessarily share the same opinions expressed by site users. While we appreciate your comments and feedback please be aware that any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please honor our request to limit your posts to industry-related educational information, comments and questions. Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. Investment positions mentioned in these videos may be held in some of our existing portfolios. Tom Vaughan and Retirement Capital Strategies are unaffiliated and separate from those companies whose investment positions are mentioned and is not liable for their products or services.

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Transcript:

Tom Vaughan:

Everybody, welcome to Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 1.6%. Today, starting at the end of last week had been calling for a pullback, thought it might start on Monday, didn’t start till Wednesday. And these are actually, in my opinion, a healthy part of a recovering market. At this point in time, as the market comes back down, you know, we’re either gonna go back down to some kind of new low, or we’ll hit some support level, which is a little bit below where we are. So we could go down a little bit further, maybe waffle around a little bit, and then start back up. And if we do start back up, we could end up with a really powerful leg upward, because I think that’s when the institutions would get involved. And so we’re looking at those two scenarios go back down or create a new all time high, I think the new all time high has a little bit more probability of happening only because there’s been so much momentum in this first move up, but very powerful, very, very impressive move all together. And I think that there’s some interest in US stocks as far as that goes. And, really, we have a lot of different things happening right now, China and Russia.

And you know, the inverted yield curve scenarios and all of the, you know, Federal Reserve moves inflation. And it’s just lots of different things going on here, including the pandemic, of course. And so yet the market still made this huge move upward. So I think a lot of that’s already counted in, more or less into this particular motion, probably take some other catalyst to get us to go down to a lower point, lots of potential catalysts out there. So we’ll have to wait and see what happens. But at the moment, we have to assume that we’re in a recovering market coming back up to an all time high, in my opinion, and that these particular pull backs are just dips, and they’re really kind of buying opportunities, as far as that goes, as far as I’m concerned. And again, unless you have a recession, you know, on the horizon, which I do not see personally, the market, you know, is usually a good buy on some of these dips, just because it tends to recover fairly quickly. If the economy is still there. We’re heading into earnings season, I think we’re going to see some good earnings. We’ve already seen some good earnings. I think that’s going to continue, and oftentimes that can drive the market up. Matter of fact, that would be my number one catalyst for getting this up into a new upward leg that eventually, you know, we see some good institutional support into so you know, we’ll see what happens watching this obviously, day by day. Look forward to seeing what’s going to happen tomorrow. I’ll talk to you then. Thank you.

Tom Vaughan is a Certified Portfolio Manager and CEO of Retirement Capital Strategies. Retirement Capital Strategies is a registered investment advisor located in San Jose, California.

The opinions voiced in these presentations are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual(s). The information provided herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no reservation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Statements and opinions are subject to change without notice. Asset allocation and portfolio diversification cannot assure or guarantee better performance and cannot eliminate the risk of investment losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the information contained in these materials in making any investment decision as the material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned in this presentation. Before acting on information discussed in this presentation, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment advisor. Prospectuses, investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of any investment product should be reviewed carefully before investing. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Retirement Capital Strategies and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. No advice may be rendered by Tom Vaughan or Retirement Capital Strategies unless a client service agreement is in place. “Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors or our services. Please be aware that while we monitor comments and “likes” left on this page, we do not endorse or necessarily share the same opinions expressed by site users. While we appreciate your comments and feedback please be aware that any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please honor our request to limit your posts to industry-related educational information, comments and questions. Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. Investment positions mentioned in these videos may be held in some of our existing portfolios. Tom Vaughan and Retirement Capital Strategies are unaffiliated and separate from those companies whose investment positions are mentioned and is not liable for their products or services.

By participating in any of these live streams, you agree that any questions submitted by you might be used by us in the future on this YouTube channel. We will not share your personal information.

If you have questions, please write to us at: asktom@talkmoneywithtom.com.

  • MoneyGuidePro®
  • Advent Software/Black Diamond Reporting
  • Riskalyze, Inc.
  • thinkpipes®
  • Right Capital
  • YCharts, Inc.