Market Update: January 31, 2022 Two Strong Up Days Can Reverse A Downtrend

Tom Vaughan is a Certified Portfolio Manager and CEO of Retirement Capital Strategies. Retirement Capital Strategies is a registered investment advisor located in San Jose, California.

The opinions voiced in these presentations are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual(s). The information provided herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no reservation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Statements and opinions are subject to change without notice. Asset allocation and portfolio diversification cannot assure or guarantee better performance and cannot eliminate the risk of investment losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the information contained in these materials in making any investment decision as the material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned in this presentation. Before acting on information discussed in this presentation, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment advisor. Prospectuses, investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of any investment product should be reviewed carefully before investing. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Retirement Capital Strategies and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. No advice may be rendered by Tom Vaughan or Retirement Capital Strategies unless a client service agreement is in place. “Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors or our services. Please be aware that while we monitor comments and “likes” left on this page, we do not endorse or necessarily share the same opinions expressed by site users. While we appreciate your comments and feedback please be aware that any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please honor our request to limit your posts to industry-related educational information, comments and questions. Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. Investment positions mentioned in these videos may be held in some of our existing portfolios. Tom Vaughan and Retirement Capital Strategies are unaffiliated and separate from those companies whose investment positions are mentioned and is not liable for their products or services.

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Transcript:

Tom Vaughan:

Hello, everybody, welcome to Monday, the S&P 500 was up 1.9%. Today, this is a second green shirt day in a row. And that’s what makes this really important. I mean, we had the NASDAQ up 3.4%. Today, the Russell 2000 index, the small caps up 3%. Today, very similar to what we saw on Friday. So for me, when I’m looking at the market, one of my rules of thumb is to great up days in a row can reverse the trend doesn’t work every time work back in March of 2020, for example. And so this is what we’re seeing today is the second day, which I think is a very important follow through day there. And it’s very powerful both days, I mean, incredible as far as that goes. Last week, we had Apple, Microsoft kind of turned the market around with their earnings reports. Luckily, we own those in our portfolio. And they did really, really well, as far as that goes. And then this week, we have the semiconductors are starting to report Applied Materials. For example, sorry, AMD, Advanced Micro Devices were reporting this week, the semiconductor index that we have in our portfolio, so x x was actually at 5.4%. Today, it’s been lagging a bit. But again, a lot of these companies that are kind of the exciting companies have reported yet. And as they report, it seems that they’ve been beating expectations. And this is exactly what I was talking about before.

If we looked at the last quarter, the market came down prior to earnings, especially from these big companies, because there’s nothing but bad news to focus on Federal Reserve and the inflation and those types of things. And then the earnings come out and people realize, wow, there’s still a lot of money being made even in this environment, and the market starts to recover. And you end up with this scenario where everybody was thinking the market was going down has has basically gotten out, and the only people left are these people that are coming back the other direction. And pretty soon all those other people will be jumping on boards also, hopefully, and we’ll continue to recover. You know, again, I mentioned before in the video last week that there’s been 84 of these five to 10% downturns on the S&P 500 Since the end of World War Two, so more than once a year. And the average recovery time is one month. So you know, who knows, we’ll see what happens here on this one as far as that goes. So I look forward to being able to see what’s going to happen tomorrow. I do think tomorrow, you know, it’d be a little surprised to see it be really strong. Oftentimes you see it take a little bit of a rest after these big type of days, but look forward to seeing what’s going to happen. Talk to you then. Thank you

Tom Vaughan is a Certified Portfolio Manager and CEO of Retirement Capital Strategies. Retirement Capital Strategies is a registered investment advisor located in San Jose, California.

The opinions voiced in these presentations are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual(s). The information provided herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no reservation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Statements and opinions are subject to change without notice. Asset allocation and portfolio diversification cannot assure or guarantee better performance and cannot eliminate the risk of investment losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the information contained in these materials in making any investment decision as the material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned in this presentation. Before acting on information discussed in this presentation, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment advisor. Prospectuses, investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of any investment product should be reviewed carefully before investing. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Retirement Capital Strategies and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. No advice may be rendered by Tom Vaughan or Retirement Capital Strategies unless a client service agreement is in place. “Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors or our services. Please be aware that while we monitor comments and “likes” left on this page, we do not endorse or necessarily share the same opinions expressed by site users. While we appreciate your comments and feedback please be aware that any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please honor our request to limit your posts to industry-related educational information, comments and questions. Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. Investment positions mentioned in these videos may be held in some of our existing portfolios. Tom Vaughan and Retirement Capital Strategies are unaffiliated and separate from those companies whose investment positions are mentioned and is not liable for their products or services.

By participating in any of these live streams, you agree that any questions submitted by you might be used by us in the future on this YouTube channel. We will not share your personal information.

If you have questions, please write to us at: asktom@talkmoneywithtom.com.

  • MoneyGuidePro®
  • Advent Software/Black Diamond Reporting
  • Riskalyze, Inc.
  • thinkpipes®
  • Right Capital
  • YCharts, Inc.