Shelter-in-Place Stock Market Update 3.5.2021 – Finding a direction in this wild week.

Tom Vaughan is a Certified Portfolio Manager and CEO of Retirement Capital Strategies. Retirement Capital Strategies is a registered investment advisor located in San Jose, California.

The opinions voiced in these presentations are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual(s). The information provided herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no reservation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Statements and opinions are subject to change without notice. Asset allocation and portfolio diversification cannot assure or guarantee better performance and cannot eliminate the risk of investment losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the information contained in these materials in making any investment decision as the material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned in this presentation. Before acting on information discussed in this presentation, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment advisor. Prospectuses, investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of any investment product should be reviewed carefully before investing. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Retirement Capital Strategies and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. No advice may be rendered by Tom Vaughan or Retirement Capital Strategies unless a client service agreement is in place. “Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors or our services. Please be aware that while we monitor comments and “likes” left on this page, we do not endorse or necessarily share the same opinions expressed by site users. While we appreciate your comments and feedback please be aware that any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please honor our request to limit your posts to industry-related educational information, comments and questions. Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. Investment positions mentioned in these videos may be held in some of our existing portfolios. Tom Vaughan and Retirement Capital Strategies are unaffiliated and separate from those companies whose investment positions are mentioned and is not liable for their products or services.

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Transcript

Hello, everybody, welcome to Friday, the S&P 500 was up 1.95%. Today, another green shirt day, we started off the green shirt day on Monday on Monday, and we just had all this craziness. But today was so different than Monday. First of all, value stocks, energy stocks were the huge winners today. On Monday, it was really growth stocks. And actually all the way through the rest of the week, it has been value stocks that have been winning, I do think that has finally turned over. And that has become the area. Energy, of course, has been the big winner, really all week long. And we saw today, again, our energy peace was 3.7%, we added some more energy to our, our stock portion of our model as far as that goes. And so on a theme basis, I think what’s going to be happening here going forward, is it really has everything to do with this recovery.

As as the market starts to the economy starts to recover, we’re gonna see higher and higher interest rates. And so that’s going to cause some problems for the markets, I do think that’s eventually going to work its way out, we did see a lot of volatility today because of that. But what happens eventually, is that that translates to higher earnings. So obviously, you know, everybody’s getting back to back to work, and there’s more money to spend, we’ve got this pent up demand and what have you, and, but the companies that are going to benefit the most are in this value category, they’ve cut down on their expenses. And when that revenue starts to come, I think we’ll see some pretty big profits out of there. And then also those stocks are so far down, you know, that the multiples times earnings or make more sense, you know, we got so stretched and innovative technology and clean air energy and, and genomics and those types of things. And I still think those have a place, but they’re selling off and basically settling back down, which is you know why I had all those stop losses in there.

So, value stocks, energy stocks, financials, which did well again today. And then I have two pieces of inverse, which didn’t do well today. But you know, we bought the S&P 500 inverse a while ago, we’re still up on that, even after today. So I think that this market is still trying to find it’s direction. And if you look at the three indexes, you know, the NASDAQ’s down quite a bit, it’s got a lot of overhead resistance, it’s going to be hard for that to come ripping right back. And so you know, we’d have to be careful here is this just a temporary situation where it comes down, and then you know, eventually comes back Are we going to see continued erosion of the gains that were made, you know, over the last 12 months, especially in the NASDAQ category.

So, you know, we’re sitting fine, we didn’t do as well today as we would have without the inverses we did better than we did yesterday because of the inverses. So I’m okay with where we are right now, until we start to see some, you know, concrete direction, today was a really good day, you know, we saw a lot of small caps do well, which just generally means people are feeling aggressive and confident when you see small caps moving like that. So that’s, that’s a good thing, too. So, really fascinating timeframe for the market. I think things work out quite well here. But we just need to see some you know, more clarity and direction.

I do believe that the growth stock run has really kind of, you know, taken a backseat now to what we’ll probably see is this value and recovery and energy run that’s going to come from from this, you know, basically from the vaccine and from the virus getting back under control and people getting back out to do things. So, that’s what’s happening this week. Really, really crazy week all together. And, you know, I want to thank you for listening and I look forward to talking to you on Monday. Thank you.

Tom Vaughan is a Certified Portfolio Manager and CEO of Retirement Capital Strategies. Retirement Capital Strategies is a registered investment advisor located in San Jose, California.

The opinions voiced in these presentations are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual(s). The information provided herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no reservation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. Statements and opinions are subject to change without notice. Asset allocation and portfolio diversification cannot assure or guarantee better performance and cannot eliminate the risk of investment losses. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the information contained in these materials in making any investment decision as the material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned in this presentation. Before acting on information discussed in this presentation, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment advisor. Prospectuses, investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of any investment product should be reviewed carefully before investing. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Retirement Capital Strategies and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. No advice may be rendered by Tom Vaughan or Retirement Capital Strategies unless a client service agreement is in place. “Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors or our services. Please be aware that while we monitor comments and “likes” left on this page, we do not endorse or necessarily share the same opinions expressed by site users. While we appreciate your comments and feedback please be aware that any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please honor our request to limit your posts to industry-related educational information, comments and questions. Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. Investment positions mentioned in these videos may be held in some of our existing portfolios. Tom Vaughan and Retirement Capital Strategies are unaffiliated and separate from those companies whose investment positions are mentioned and is not liable for their products or services.

By participating in any of these live streams, you agree that any questions submitted by you might be used by us in the future on this YouTube channel. We will not share your personal information.

If you have questions, please write to us at: asktom@talkmoneywithtom.com.

  • MoneyGuidePro®
  • Advent Software/Black Diamond Reporting
  • Riskalyze, Inc.
  • thinkpipes®
  • Right Capital
  • YCharts, Inc.